The Forex Market and the Employment Cost Index

Fundamental analysis or market analysis based on economic indicators, many of the strategies of the Forex market. Most platforms Forex trading online provides data on economic indicators using their forex magazine online, often free of charge. One of the most important indicators of the economy the economic cost index (ECI), a major player in shaping and defining strategies Forex market.

Forecasting Forex Trading

What is Forex or currency: it is the largest financial market in the world with a volume of more than $ 1.5 trillion a day foreign exchange trading. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange.

Forex Trading Is Driven By Five Top Economic Indicators

Many factors affect forex trading. It is essential to know and understand the various factors that cause the Forex to fluctuate from day to day. FX will change depending on economic factors that play a role in the movement of currencies. Economic factors and indicators are released by the State or by private organizations that can go further in economic performance.

World Events and Wise Forex Trading

Forex trading has large potential to become profitable and satisfying career, which means they have a lifestyle that few other lucrative activities in the world can offer to people of many roads in life, and without asking any of the men and women in a degree or special certification. But forex trading is not easy, it can be easy to write and place your first trade but becoming a profitable trader is a different matter. You will need to obtain the correct information and techniques to understand and know when to go into business to achieve the main goal of every investor, money.

Forex Capital Markets And Foreign Exchange Transactions

Forex Capital Markets are foreign exchange market where currencies are bought and sold continuously for profits. The foreign capital markets are present globally and transactions are non-stop in this forex spot market. Whether in Sydney or Tokyo, you could find the aggressive forex dealers and agents scan their computer screens and telephone number of small changes that could affect currency trading.

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Monday 21 November 2011

Money Management Tips To Trading On The Forex

Money Management Tips
What is Money Management: describes strategies and techniques players use to avoid losing their bankroll. Money Management in foreign currency markets, currency market requires educating yourself in the financial sector. First, the definition of foreign currency exchange or forex market is required. Forex market is simply to change the currency of a country's currency to another. The relative values ​​of various currencies around the world to change on a regular basis. Factors such as the stability of the economy, gross domestic product, gross domestic product, inflation, interest rates, and such obvious factors as domestic security and external image. For example, if a country has an unstable government, waiting for a military coup, or is about to take part in the war, then the currency of the country can be calculated in relative terms compared to other countries currency.

Forex, or foreign exchange, is a question of money. Money from all over the world are bought, sold and traded. And 'the Forex, anyone can buy and sell currency and possibly come out ahead at the end. When it comes to currency exchange, you can buy the currency of a country, sell and make a profit. For example, the broker might buy a Japanese yen when the yen rising U.S. dollar, then sell yen and buy dollars in profit.

There are five major forex exchange markets of the world, New York, London, Frankfurt, Paris, Tokyo and Zurich. Forex trading occurs throughout the day in the various markets in Asia, Europe and America. With different time zones, when Asian trading stops, European trading opens, and on the other hand, when European trading stops, American trading opens, and when it ceases to American commerce, then it is time for Asian trading resumes .

Most of the world trade in the forex market takes place in small markets to trade in individual countries. Simply put, foreign exchange trading is the simultaneous buying of one currency and selling another. More than 1.4 trillion dollars, U.S. currency trading takes place on a daily basis and sometimes fortunes are made or lost in these markets. Billionaire George Soros has made the most money in forex trading. Successfully manage their money in forex trading requires an understanding of the bid / ask spread.

In short, buy spread is the difference between the price at which something is sold and the price is actually acquired. For example, if you ask the price is $ 100, and the price is $ 102 so the difference is two dollars, to spread. Many forex margin trading. Trading margin is to buy and sell goods worth more than money to your account. The exchange rate in a given day is usually less than two percent, forex trading is a small margin. You can use the example of one percent margin for the trader can trade up to $ 250,000, even if you have only $ 5,000 in his account. This means that the trade has leverage of 50 to one. This amount of leverage allows the dealer to make good profits very quickly. Of course, with the possibility of high profits also comes high risk.

Like many other speculative investments, a key part of the forex trader money management is only with money that could be in danger. It is advisable to reserve a portion of equity and make money using forex trading only. Even if the potential profits are good, if you have a problem and should be destroyed, you have only a limited amount of money would be compromised. Remember also that the market is in constant motion. Also trading opportunities. If the currency is getting stronger or weaker against other currencies is always the possibility of victory. For example, if you think that the euro is weak compared to the Gong to be the U.S. dollar then selling Euros is a good bet. If you believe that the dollar is weakening yen or sterling, then selling dollars is wise. Stay up to date news and events taking place in countries whose currencies you are wise.

Many people reach points where one can predict monetary developments are based on the new economic policy or a particular country. Remember though that forex trading is speculation, so be careful in managing your money and only invest what you can afford to risk.

Please make sure to always consult with professionals when it comes to this market, unless you do this as a hobby and do not have much to lose by it. There are plenty of big boys playing here and they will not lose much sleep, if you and thousands more are losing their shirts ...

Consumer Durables And The Forex Market


Forex traders, like all great investors in investment, attention to economic news today. This is due to the financial (or economic indicators) often shapes trading, be it a stock exchange or foreign exchange markets. One of the most common economic indicators, which use the Forex investors and others, in terms of durable goods report.

Define durable goods

Before discussing the current report, the term "durable goods" needs to be explained. Durable goods are goods that last more than three years. In other words, the consumer expects to make a purchase that should not be replaced in the near future. Examples of durable goods such as cars, furniture, appliances, tools and plant equipment.

The ratio of durable goods

The durable goods report was released on 20 th of each month for the previous month's activity. The report measures the number of new orders for durable goods from a sample of more than 4,000 manufacturers of about 85 industries. In general, the numbers of the defense and transportation are eliminated from the report because of its volatility.

This report is essential for investors because it is considered a primary key indicator for the economy. This means that if the numbers are strong (ie high number of orders), consumers are more likely to buy more sustainable products, which will strengthen the national currency. On the other hand, if decreases the number of durable goods, consumers are more likely to buy fewer goods, which can adversely affect the exchange rate of a country.

Non-defense capital goods

Besides numerous other failures of durable goods orders, the report also reflects the capital goods orders excluding defense. No capital goods orders relating to non-defense related equipment orders. This is an important fact because it is practically equivalent to the production durable equipment (PDE) in the category of the GDP indicator of great economic importance. Like other classes, this class of PDE-as is a strong indicator of future economic trends. If capital increases do not include the defense of property is a good sign that the economy is growing (positive effect on the rate of change of a country). On the other hand, a decline in orders could mean an imminent slowdown in the economy.

The Forex Market and the Employment Cost Index


Fundamental analysis or market analysis based on economic indicators, many of the strategies of the Forex market. Most platforms Forex trading online provides data on economic indicators using their forex magazine online, often free of charge. One of the most important indicators of the economy the economic cost index (ECI), a major player in shaping and defining strategies Forex market.

What is the employment index (ECI) to measure?

The cost index measures use mainly the cost of doing business. It measures monthly changes in key variables such as employee salaries, retirement benefits and bonuses of jobs. ECI is so important that it even allows to define the monetary decisions and policies of the Federal Reserve.

The road is inflation

By comparing the rate of inflation to changes in the monthly salaries of employees is crucial in access or not wages are in place with current prices. For example, if the current inflation rate is 3% per year, and wages are rising at an annual rate of 2%, even when wages are rising in general, are in fact below the actual cost of living. This could adversely affect the economy (ie, less consumer spending) and in the long run, affect the rate of change of a country. On the other hand, if wages rise at a rate of 3% per year with a healthy increase in employment benefits and work-related premiums (total compensation), and inflation is only 2% per year, while the benefit of the global economy, the exchange rate in the nation.

It can be a lagging indicator, but it is always important!

Although ICE is a lagging indicator (after following economic changes), it is always an important factor in the basic strategies in the market. The ICE (either up or down), basically validates a particular economic environment and can help investors build a global trade strategy. Let's say the economy is showing signs of weakness in recent months, but not all the conflicting reports. The report confirms the fate of ECI and the economic performance of a weakening economy (ie, lower wages), which in turn can negatively affect a country's rate changes. With this information, the investor can make strategic decisions to invest in the Forex market.

Energy Prices, Inflation and Forex Trading


Oil futures reached an intraday record of $ 70.85 on August 30, the day after Hurricane Katrina hit the Gulf Coast. While prices have declined in the weeks following, it is interesting to see how commodity prices and the specter of inflation affects the exchange rate (FX) market, particularly the U.S. dollar. The traditional factors of supply and demand have undoubtedly contributed to the long-term trend of energy prices. The demand side of the equation was taking a lot of press this year, with an emphasis on the growing thirst for oil in China and India. However, the recent rise in oil can be attributed primarily to hurricane-related speculation in the futures market and limited refining capacity and centralized (in the Gulf Coast), USA

Economic data released in recent weeks begun to consider the effects of hurricanes Katrina and Rita, which devastated the coast of the United States in August and September. These data confirm that the Fed is that all the time that the economy is growing at a rapid pace and that inflation, not recession, should apply.

September employment data showed the first net job loss since May 2003, but the decline of 35,000 jobs was much smaller than the decline expected. September CPI showed the largest monthly increase in 25 years. However, when the volatile components of food and energy are removed, inflation has been fairly mild 0.1%. This was slightly lower than the market anticipates and suggests that high energy prices have not gone through the base number yet.

Also, the September issue as PPI has exceeded expectations and was the largest monthly increase in 15 years. However, once again, take away food and energy and see that wholesale prices rose 0.3% relatively small. This number exceeded basic expectations, so it could be inferred that high energy prices starting to affect prices at the wholesale level and is only a matter of time before these high prices to consumers. Lower confidence than expected retail sales and 13 years under a new consumption suggests that high energy prices are actually influencing the minds of American consumers. How will it play out, especially in the retail sector in the holiday season is now one of the major Wall Street.

With the "inflation" of the word is on everyone's lips these days, we expect the Fed to continue tightening of schedule. The Fed raised its target for overnight loans by 25 basis points to 3.75% in September, increasing its kind since June 11, 2004. Another rate hike is expected in October and at least 25 bp bulge is almost assured in November or December.

The increase in U.S. interest rates and a growing economy in the United States were the drivers of current U.S. foreign Treasury bonds and the stock market, respectively. These flows translate into demand for U.S. dollars, which has kept the dollar in general and the offer in September and October. Although the claim that the equity market is vulnerable at this time, the image of interest rate differentials should continue to support the dollar until the end of the year.

High energy prices and fears of inflation are not unique to the United States' central banks and finance ministers of the Group of 20 industrialized and developing countries met in Beijing this month. Press release published on October 16, said that high oil prices "could add to inflationary pressures, slow down growth and cause instability in the global economy.''This should benefit the dollar and the times of global economic uncertainty, the dollar is still considered "safe" haven currency. Even if we see other countries begin to tighten monetary policy, U.S. interest rates remain significantly higher.

Removal of the final 115, 00 USD-JPY bodes well for further gains in the U.S. dollar against the yen in the area of ​​118/120. On the other hand, the bottom of EURUSD at 1.1868 July convincingly denied to trigger further gains in the U.S. dollar against the euro. Such a move would distract from 2004 down to 1.1759/78 initially, but the potential would fall below 1.1500.

In times of inflationary pressures, the dollar has a tendency to lose ground against the currencies of raw materials. The commodity currencies are the currencies of countries that receive most of their export sales of raw materials. Typical examples of the first liquid currencies are the Canadian dollar, Australian dollar and New Zealand dollar.

The dollar has reached the end of 17 years for new low in September compared to the Canadian dollar on the back of soaring oil and metal prices. While the U.S. dollar recovered from the depression, the gains are corrective in nature, and we look long-term bearish on USD CAD to continue. Similarly, AUS-USD and the NZD-USD consolidating below important resistance to the options available for short gains additional medium term.

At some point, domestic inflation and the rise of the U.S. dollar back to focus on the U.S. trade deficit and balance of payments. As in the U.S. goods and services more expensive, as well as domestic and foreign consumers look elsewhere. The point where the U.S. stock market really be vulnerable. The risk of loss on the stock market leads to a negative impact on streams in the United States, and therefore long-term dollar decline is likely to start using for themselves. The conventional wisdom in the financial services sector according to the release 50-10% of their portfolio in alternative investments, such as offered by CFS Capital, it is desirable diversification necessary to protect against attempts to negative in a more traditional asset classes.

Forex Trading Is Driven By Five Top Economic Indicators


Many factors affect forex trading. It is essential to know and understand the various factors that cause the Forex to fluctuate from day to day. FX will change depending on economic factors that play a role in the movement of currencies. Economic factors and indicators are released by the State or by private organizations that can go further in economic performance. These indicators can be used to analyze the economic performance of any country. The economic reports measure a country's economic health, in addition to government policy and current events.

For most, a reputable dealer to look at the economic indicators and knowledge which subjects would be better. Reports on these indicators are published at regular and can tell whether a particular country are experiencing improvements in the economy, or if its economy is in decline. When prices fluctuate, a large one way or another, the price may be affected.

News and the state of the economy in a given nation is one of the top economic indicators used when analyzing the Forex. Factors such as unemployment numbers, housing statistics and the current state of government of a country can affect the evolution of the Forex. When a country feels optimisitic on the current situation in their country, Forex prices reflect this. When a nation experiences political unrest, large amounts of unemployment and inflation, the rate of the currency to be reflected. Sometimes, this indicator tends to be overlooked, but can serve as an important measure of exchange rate volatility.

Gross domestic product, or GDP, is another economic indicator used when looking at the currency market. The GDP is considered the broadest measure of the largest and the economy of a country. Gross domestic product represents the total market value of goods and services that are normally produced in a given country. This is usually measured within a year, not weeks or months. Using a larger time period gives good statistics on goods and services produced in the country. This indicator is not only used in forecasting currency. GDP is considered a lagging indicator, meaning that it is a measurable factor that changes after the economy has already begun to follow a trend.

Reports retail sales is the third economic factor that is often used in analyzing the Forex. This is total acceptance of all retail stores across the country. Usually, this is detail, but a sampling of various retail stores across the country. This is considered a very reliable indicator because important economic and consumption patterns that are expected during the year. This factor is usually more important that lagging indicators and give a clearer picture of the state of the economy of any country.

Another reliable economic indicator in the foreign exchange market is the ratio of industrial production. This report shows the fluctuation in productions in industries such as factories and utilities. The report examines the actual production compared to what the potential production capacity is over. When a country is producing at full capacity, it positively affects the Forex and is considered ideal conditions for traders.

Consumer Price Index, or CPI, is the last critical economic indicator for the analysis of the Forex. The CPI is to measure changes in prices of consumer goods 200 categories. This report can tell whether a country is making or losing money on their products and services. Exports to that country, it is very important when you look at this indicator, since the volume of exports can reflect the strength or weakness of the currency. Forex is affected by many factors. These factors usually follow a certain trend so it is important to understand how each factor is forecasting the Forex. Some are good indicators alone while others can be used in combination with accurate Forex predications.

Forecasting Forex Trading

Forecasting Forex Trading

What is Forex or currency: it is the largest financial market in the world with a volume of more than $ 1.5 trillion a day foreign exchange trading. Unlike other financial markets, the Forex market has no physical location, no central exchange. It operates through an electronic network of banks, corporations and individuals trading one against another. What about predictions: market trends and forecasting future from existing data and facts. Analysts are based on fundamental statistical techniques to predict the direction of the economy, stock markets and individual securities.

For those who trade on the Forex, or foreign currency, knowing how to predict forex can mean the difference between trading successfully and losing money. When you start to learn about Forex trading, it is important that you understand how to predict the forex market trading. There are some methods that are used in forecasting the Forex. Each system is used to understand how the Forex and how market fluctuations can affect traders and exchange rates. The two methods most often used is called technical analysis and fundamental analysis. The two methods are different in their own ways, but each can help the Forex trader understand how the rates affect currency trading. Most of the time, experienced traders and brokers know each method and use a mixture of both in forex trading.

One method used in forecasting exchange is called technical analysis. This method uses predictions by looking at trends in charts and graphs of past Forex market happenings. This system is based on solid events that actually took place in the Forex in the past. Many traders and brokers rely on the experience system, because it follows the current trends and can be quite reliable. When you look at the forex technical analysis, there are three basic principles that are used to make projections. These principles are based on market action over the news, trends in price movements and past Forex history. When the market action is looked at, everything from supply and demand, the current policy and current market conditions into account. It is generally agreed that the actual price of Forex is a direct reflection of the news.

Trends in stock prices is another factor when using technical analysis. This means that there are models of market behavior that have been known to be partly due to the Forex. These models are typically repeated over time and can often be a constant factor in the prediction of the Forex market. Another factor that must be taken into consideration when forecasting the Forex is history. There is a clear models on the market, and these factors are usually reliable. There are a number of charts that must be taken into account when the foreign exchange market forecasts, using technical analysis. In five groups, which are also looking for indicators, number theory, waves, gaps and trends.

Most of these can be quite difficult for those without experience with Forex. Most professional Forex brokers understand these charts and have the ability to offer its customers well informed advice on forex trading. Another way that experienced brokers and Forex traders use the forecast of trends is called fundamental analysis. This method is used to predict future price movements based on facts that have not yet taken place. This can range from political changes, environmental factors and natural disasters, even. Important factors and statistics are used to predict how it will affect supply and demand and exchange rates. In most cases, this is not a reliable factor on its own, but used in conjunction with technical analysis to form an opinion on the Forex market changes.

For those interested in being involved in Forex trading, a basic understanding of how the system is crucial. Understanding prediction systems at a time and how they can predict market trends will help Forex traders be successful with their business. Most experienced traders and brokers who deal with the Forex use a system of information to both technical and fundamental when decisions on the Forex market. When used together, they can provide valuable information on shopping trends, which money their way. Always leave the forecasting to the professionals unless you are playing the Forex as a hobby and not a lot of money invested ... Or like most people, you will learn the hard way.


Do Interest Rates Drive The Foreign Exchange Markets?


Interest Rates defined: Interest rates are LIBOR-based currencies of disbursement plus a spread that depends on the complexity of the transaction and the risk profile of the applicant. Forex, or foreign currency, is a question of money. Money from around the world are bought, sold and marketed. On the Forex, anyone can buy and sell currencies and eventually win out eventually. When dealing with foreign currencies, it is possible to buy the currency of a country, sell it and earn money. For example, a broker to buy a Japanese yen when the yen to dollar ratio increases, and then sell yen and buy U.S. dollars for a profit.

The foreign exchange market is also known as the Forex market is one that affects a number of things. Market itself is becoming one of the most popular forms of trading today. It was once reserved for the richest of the rich, but today, the smallest of the minimum, this is a market that attracts people from all sectors of the economy above. The interesting thing about this market as well as its financial leverage and liquidity. Many people in the great forex system is basically a lot 'of money and make much use the foreign exchange market. However, when you have experience in the Forex market, you must also be aware of the problems that affect it. Are you aware of these things is to make trading decisions logically and rationally.

Interest rates are something that drives the currency market. While prices in foreign currencies are what the market interest rates has a direct impact on prices. Therefore, in order to understand the current foreign exchange market, one must understand the current circumstances of the individual rate. Although economic and political conditions are also among the things that greatly affect the Forex, there is nothing that affects more than interest rates. Something to remember is that money often follows interest rates. When interest rates rise, investors will want to exploit the high returns, and you will see money flowing into the country. When interest rates between countries increases, their motto is perceived as stronger than other currencies. This happens because investors seek more of that currency to profit more. Otherwise, it is considered a good thing when interest rates rise, and a bad thing when they fall.

Board of Directors participation 'in the Forex is not an unusual activity. Sometimes the government flooded the market values ​​its national currency. This may seem silly to someone who knows nothing about the currency market, however, for those who know him well, it makes sense. When governments flood the Forex on the national currency, are trying to reduce the price. When they buy their own national currency, are trying to raise the price. Could have known of this strategy, the central bank intervention. Governments do this to help the economy as a whole. This type of activity that keeps the foreign exchange market is strong and stable. When you have a very big players make appearances to keep everything as fair as possible, creating an attractive market.

Even though interest rates may be driving the market for a short time, the nature of currency markets, are more difficult to drive for a long time. Design of the markets in which it is of great size and volume, limiting the interest to take complete control of the system. Experts, however, many times trying to figure out when interest rates rise or fall. The most common thing they do so to keep the price should be paid attention to the economic inflation. Sometimes investors and experts to listen to speeches of politicians and other leaders. Can bark clues to guess before the announcements are made. Most of the time, is slightly in advance, before moving interest rates.

As you can see the influences of interest on the foreign exchange market is strong. They can help determine which countries' currencies are the strongest. It is obviously against all other currencies on the market currently. When you consider the rise and fall of interest rates, you can recall that when interest rates fall, it is generally a good thing for investors and for domestic currency. When rates fall, it's not such a great thing. If rates remain low for an extended period, the market may seem a bit dull, but the great thing about the forex market is that when the government is involved, as he usually does at these times, there is hope of improvement. So if you start learning exchange, be sure to pay attention to the rise and fall of interest rates around you to make the best possible investment decisions.